Monday, January 18, 2010

When it Comes to Housing Bottom, Who to Believe?

Picking the bottom of the market may be impossible, but perhaps the conflicting views of 2010 presented in the WSJ.com videos below mean opportunity is out there for intrepid buyers.

This video says foreclosure activity will see a second and third wave in 2010. The first wave was started by poor lending practices, which help create the now-burst bubble. The second wave of foreclosures will come from unemployment and the third wave from the boom-vintage adjustable rate mortgages resetting on underwater homes. Yikes.




All that said, if you still have a job, in most places of the country, housing is affordable relative to historic earning power. This is a powerful, but rarely emphasized metric that Inside the Brackets has written about before in our Moody's Crystal Ball.






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